Ryan
Housing Density
At the Auckland University debate last night, I took the side to oppose 'affordable housing', it has got way out of control. Here is why I said "how about quality housing" ? What about quality homes? Density housing is a failed baby boomer concept of the old generation to make personal profits and this logic is harming the city in many ways. The industry is not even really profitable, many people go bankrupt while doing it. Hey look at Mayor Browns right hand man, bankrupt. So how can it really make that much money? The Swiss know how to make profits, there are other options to get wealth that are easier and doesn't cause unhappiness around town. Why don't we work out a more profitable alternative than density and do that?
We currently have a housing Minister and a Minister of building who both appear to not be astute builders? I have been very concerned about the city I grew up in for quite some years. The housing and building Ministers are supposed to be people who are top of their field. A person who is discovered after a nationwide search to find the one single most astute builder that the country has to offer. - 10 years plus with a hammer in the hand, super high functioning running a team of builders for 10+ years, moved into materials and defect prevention technology or products development like extruded head flashings and fibre cement panels that is a super winning material when manufactured right. Fibre cement panel houses only need painting every 20 years and the paint doesn't flake. We need a Minister that is the best of the best, what reason do people think the country is defaulting on it's finances. What is the real reason we need to pretend there is a housing crisis and to flood the country with immigrants? New Zealand is in a population decline by birth rates. Housing crisis is a senile logic of fiscal loss.
What is the hazard to Auckland region of Ministers who are not top of their field? Are the construction products and methods currently in use OK? Builders are saying no. They are saying the linear board is defective in eve-less construction.
Just one error at a Ministerial level could cause a multi billion dollar repair. The one decision to make kiln dried timber homes cost our city a said 20B. The council payed a lot of the legal bills and put the rates up to pay for the disaster, which is still going on today. Someone told me that down by Queenstown, the council payed over 20% of all its proceeds to leaky build claims in the current year! How much is the perpetual cost in Auckland that has the most intensity?
Also what about the Minister of agriculture? New Zealand's top farmer? The one best botanist tree stabilization expert, landslide expert, dairy expert, organic fertilisation expert, veterinarian expertise, humane animal treatment expert?? Things need to change up.
Investment into density housing is a failure
Is the true economic cost of investing fully into affordable housing under-stated? Has anyone quantified the subtle costs?
So, we as a city, are potentially wasting one million teaspoons of petrol per day due to speed bumps all over the city. For a truck to slow down and to accelerate away from a speed bump is a tablespoon of diesel. There is no impetus or spare time of Auckland council to implement technology and transportation metrics due to focus on density and the district plan greed. Aucklander's are saying they are struggling, the rates have increased and the debt level is growing way too fast. The city has become uneconomic. What is the true financial cost of 'affordable housing'? 100 billion? 500 billion? Who knows, has anyone calculated the figure?
Making the city poor
The town planning in the city is being organised by people who don't understand where profits and losses lye. What happens is; A section is subdivided because of a change in the district plan. One house is destroyed and then two new houses are built. 6 years later, the zoning changes again. Two new houses are destroyed and 5 new houses are being built. As a city, we can not keep destroying existing homes, the city is going financially down. No one wins from this, only a few jobs are created and the foreign bank has more lending. Can't waste a good house.What about the added costs for home owners? Cheap homes are being wrecked and the new smaller ones are more expensive and 1/5th of the size. Who would do that? It is evil and uneconomic. Plus the added drainage loading and flood loading is a lot higher than people think, the soil absorbs more water than people know.
Housing, it has got to be done right. Affordable housing is not a campaign policy that has any worth to mention as a selling point. Who would promote affordable housing? There is reverse economic value in it. Who would sell it to be elected?
With all of the injures that Auckland has faced over the last two decades, it appears that 'affordable housing' is the single current one, it is bleeding the city broke, impetus on homeland investment, transport and technology adaptation has been forgotten about, in replacement for maximum building, all of which are plugging their drainage systems into that of existing towns that mainly all lye further down stream.
Let's make a profitable and economic city, let's put the city in safe hands and see what happens with the use of a bit of logic, it is not okay to demolish a good home, there is a giant cost that has to be collected by someone.
Hang on, how exactly would this work? Well we protect the next generation, no demolition of homes. On top of that low interest loans can be provided for people who have leaking roofs, damage protection. Also there is a new focus on wealth creation instead of demolition. Did you know that $10,000 in a kiwi fund turns into $1,000,000 in just ten years at 70% return per annum? Investment is where it is at. The worlds largest company provided 70% share growth in the last two years NVIDIA. High returns of up to 50% are really possible.Why don't we up our kiwi funds game and do that? this is more money for all and cheaper home purchases.
The inter-tidal open-cast waterways and streams are an integral part of the drainage system of which almost all drainage systems of the city were originally built to. The streams and estuaries of the city are the actual open cast drainage matrix for Auckland city. In other countries, their drainage system is different. Here, the intertidal streams are the drainage system of the city.This is the explanation of the next disaster, coupled with leaky home syndrome of affordable/compromised housing costing $20B, floods $4B. We are working too hard, not getting anywhere financially. Sub-divisions double the loading of the waterways of the Waitemata by sealed surface area. The last flood was potentially not a 1 in 200 year flood. It was a one in 200 year rainfall event. It was a one in 200 year (24hour by volume) event. It was not a 1 in 200 year flood event. If we had the same 90mm of rain in one hour during high tide instead of low tide, a one in 100 year rain event could have potentially caused flooding 500mm higher than Jan 27 2023. It was a 1 in 200 year rain fall event. Only potentially a 1 in 10 year flooding event. The city is also not being maintained on two levels, not just council level, a phenomenon has occurred where people don't know how to clear their gutters of leaves and home made drainage systems. This is a serious worsening issue to vote for a serious community solution in ordinance. What is the micro cost of unregestered events of private houses that have undetected leaks, insurance companies only cover for sudden leaks, sometimes. Has anyone checked the inflammatory damage to individual houses across Auckland? 100million dollars of damages to the city per year? Who knows? What is the cost to forget about the existing houses that are already built? The councils policy I think is to condemn a damaged house and to destroy the whole thing. What about the next generation inheriting damaged homes or worse, a new home that costs $800,000 more to purchase than the last one that was leaking and was knocked down?
Leaky homes syndrome $20B+
Auckland floods $4B
Estimated loss from loss of housing maintenance and impetus in technology adaptation, transport metrics, NZ investment $300B
Total estimated losses attributed to affordable housing if the value of leaky claims reaches prior values $344B
How will the farming industry be able to financially support another 1 million "green-acres Aucklanders" who depend mainly on importation and foreign investment? Shouldn't this be organised first or in parallel with some quality housing when needed?
Intellectually, the only time we need to prop up the economy's financial statements and to prop up the AA credit rating of New Zealand, is to bring more people in, when the Government workers are doing an average job. If top experts come to work in government roles, we don't need to bring people into the country to mop up the 1B loss we made on all the things like the interislander disaster.
EXAMPLE
In the future, house prices will be valued differently, intangible assets such as outlook, sunshine radius to dry the laundry, noise and pollution proximity, curbside or roadside vehicle space that was traditionally reserved for the adjacent home occupants. Area to park a boat and to kick a ball will become scrutinised and cities will need to compete to strive as the best place to live.
FURTHER: Property is not even where the money is at anyway. The world's largest company NVIDIA made roughly about 70%PA return for the last two years. If this rate were achievable in Kiwisaver returns, $10,000 deposit would turn into 1M in just 9-10years. Is it possible for all 1.7 million of us to achieve investment and crowd funding to something of this level of success?
LOSS OF EMPLOYMENT PROBLEM NO MORE BUILDING OF AFFORDABLE HOMES
The solution to the stoppage is employment shift. There are many homes not being maintained, they get damaged because they are made of wood, iron roof and plaster. There is a lot of work needed to stop many 1000's of homes being damaged from leaky roof, bogged home-made drainage systems, dilapidated spouting that floods the side of the house and the neighbours property and the basement.
There will be good jobs and good pay to do this work. Home owners will be given low interest lending against the rates billing accountancy system. This will create a flood of work, from borer bombing the rimu subfloor to painting and re-roofing and gutter gleaning. Elderly people who are financially constrained, will now be able to have their roof maintained. This will increase the rights of the next generation to inherit dry cheap homes.
The harbour bridge also needs maintenance, to have a hundred tonnes of street lamps deconstructed, put to use in another suburb and have a similar metric weight of shock absorption added to the sub structure. It also needs to be resurfaced and levelled smooth, cars and trucks hit bumps and it is shaking the bridge apart. This work saves cost in the future, it saves a lot of money further down the track. This work and other work in the city means a work boom.
An economic city at street berm level, is good for the councils books, good for the banks, good for the inhabitants, good for central government books, good for all.
Overly fully mature oak trees in the council parks are breaking apart and being cut up and chipped, while we import fine timbers at high cost to the environment. This wood all needs to be used for the purpose that it was intellectually planted for by the smart Auckland mayor and councillors many decades ago, and then supplied cheaply to the Auckland carpentry fraternity. Let's run the city in an economic way and make use. There will be more profits, better homes, happier people, endless jobs and did I say way more profits, economic boom time.
Ryan's C.V.
Ryan was very fortunate to do a subdivision in 2010 at the low in the market and was lucky enough to make $1M from the work done and sold in 2013, but this however was a fake reality of success, never to be done again. Ryan is a 9.5/10 expert in weather-tightness including: building defects, architectural defects, materials defects, direct fix, unventilated cavities, un-treated kiln dried timber, internal parapets and the No.1 disaster of all - flat-laid torch-on bitumen roofing matting. Ryan is an expert in a number of sub-fields of building and everything written in this page is 100% accurate. Ryan has gone further and owned a good half a dozen to dozen leaky investment apartments throughout the CBD and been through a multiple of multimillion dollar defect legal claims. Ryan is a solid expert in weather tight construction and this means "safe hands" for the city as mayor of Auckland. Few people in the country could outclass Ryan in defect repair and this experience means millions in value for the city. Ryan is the most skilled and widely experienced person this city has got, to be the mayor of Auckland
